2016 likely to break global temperature record, says British Met Office

London: The Met Office says 2016 is on track to be the warmest year on record since the beginning of the instrumental record in 1850.

If confirmed when the final results are compiled at the end of the year, 2016 will be the third consecutive year of exceptionally-high average surface global temperatures, read the British Met Office.

All of the warmest ten years on record for global average surface temperature have occurred since 1997, according to the HadCRUT4 dataset – a series which begins in 1850.

The HadCRUT4 data for 2016 shows a current value of 0.84°C (± 0.10°C) above the average for the 30-year period between 1961 and1990.

Professor Peter Stott of the Met Office said: “Three record-breaking years for global temperature would be remarkable. The year 2015 was exceptionally warm and, like 2016, was influenced by the warm El Niño circulation in the tropical Pacific.

“As the El Niño wanes, we don’t anticipate that 2017 will be another record-breaking year in the instrumental record. However, 2017 is likely to be warmer than any year prior to the last two decades because of the underlying extent of anthropogenic warming due to the increasing atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases.”

IBNS